Value bets
Selections where our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — ranked by edge.
What is edge? Edge = our model's win probability minus the probability implied by the price (1 ÷ decimal odds). A positive edge means the market may be underpricing the pick.
MatchPickOddsModelEdge
Rochdale — SwindonLeague Two1-1 (Rochdale–Swindon)7.0052%+38%San Marino — AlbaniaUEFA Nations LeagueSan Marino +2.52.6375%+37%Botafogo SP — Ponte PretaSerie BPonte Preta -0.53.9060%+34%Albirex — TokushimaJ2-LeagueTokushima +0.753.5362%+34%Slovakia — KazakhstanUEFA Nations LeagueSlovakia -1.52.0078%+28%Crewe — Bristol RoversLeague TwoDraw3.4055%+26%Northern Ireland — HungaryUEFA Nations LeagueBoth teams to score2.1068%+20%Barnsley — MK DonsLeague OneUnder 2.52.6058%+19%Bulgaria — EstoniaUEFA Nations LeagueBulgaria -1.52.7555%+19%Wigan — MansfieldLeague OneMansfield +0.252.5258%+18%Accrington — CheltenhamLeague TwoAccrington +0.252.7255%+18%Salford — FleetwoodLeague TwoUnder 2.52.1062%+14%Ind. Rivadavia — Gimnasia La PlataPrimera DivisionUnder 2.51.8568%+14%Oss — MaastrichtEerste DivisieUnder 2.52.1660%+14%Georgia — UkraineUEFA Nations LeagueBoth teams to score1.8368%+13%Chesterfield — TranmereLeague TwoUnder 2.52.0262%+12%Azerbaijan — LiechtensteinUEFA Nations LeagueNot both to score1.3785%+12%Libertad — Olimpia AsuncionPrimera DivisionLibertad +0.252.0760%+12%Romania — Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations LeagueRomania wins2.3055%+12%Malta — GibraltarUEFA Nations LeagueUnder 2.252.0460%+11%Waalwijk — FC EmmenEerste DivisieOver 3.51.9562%+11%Exeter — RotherhamLeague TwoUnder 2.51.9162%+10%Oita — MontedioJ2-LeagueUnder 2.51.6968%+9%Gillingham — NewportLeague TwoGillingham wins2.1555%+8%U. De Concepcion — HuachipatoLiga De PrimeraHuachipato +0.252.0657%+8%Colchester — Port ValeLeague TwoColchester wins2.3950%+8%Eindhoven FC — De GraafschapEerste DivisieEindhoven FC or Draw1.6270%+8%Germany — SerbiaUEFA Nations LeagueGermany -1.51.8562%+8%Türkiye — ItalyUEFA Nations LeagueBoth teams to score1.7565%+8%Greece — NetherlandsUEFA Nations LeagueNetherlands wins1.9958%+8%Russia — IranFriendliesRussia wins1.7465%+8%Moldova — Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations LeagueMoldova wins2.3051%+8%Scotland — SwitzerlandUEFA Nations LeagueScotland or Draw1.7764%+8%Reading — Bradford CityLeague OneOver 2.51.9858%+7%Slovakia U19 — Poland U19FriendliesOver 2.51.9060%+7%Grimsby — ShrewsburyLeague TwoGrimsby -0.751.8362%+7%Sweden — PolandUEFA Nations LeagueSweden wins1.9658%+7%Spain — CroatiaUEFA Nations LeagueSpain -1.251.7265%+7%Fortaleza — NauticoSerie BUnder 2.51.7265%+7%Almere City — FC VolendamEerste DivisieAlmere City wins1.9558%+7%Slovenia — North MacedoniaUEFA Nations LeagueDraw or North Macedonia2.2152%+7%Ireland — AustriaUEFA Nations LeagueIreland or Draw1.5870%+7%San Lorenzo — RecoletaPrimera DivisionRecoleta +0.252.0655%+6%Australia — BrazilFriendliesBrazil wins1.3282%+6%Independiente — InstitutoPrimera DivisionNot both to score1.7065%+6%Czechia — EnglandUEFA Nations LeagueOver 2.51.7962%+6%Sao Bernardo — CRBSerie BUnder 2.51.9258%+6%Tochigi City — ImabariJ2-LeagueTochigi City wins1.8161%+6%Luton — DoncasterLeague OneLuton wins1.9158%+6%Latvia — CyprusUEFA Nations LeagueBoth teams to score1.9058%+5%América Mineiro — JuventudeSerie BNot both to score1.8360%+5%North Macedonia — ScotlandUEFA Nations LeagueScotland wins1.9058%+5%Bromley — WycombeLeague OneWycombe wins2.0454%+5%United States — ChileFriendliesUnited States wins1.4972%+5%Vitesse — NAC BredaEerste DivisieVitesse or Draw1.5470%+5%Brackley Town — South ShieldsNational League N/SBoth teams to score1.7562%+5%Northampton — OldhamLeague TwoUnder 2.51.7562%+5%Walsall — CrawleyLeague TwoWalsall wins1.7861%+5%Fujieda — ShonanJ2-LeagueNot both to score1.9556%+5%Belgium — FranceUEFA Nations LeagueFrance wins2.1152%+5%Denmark — PortugalUEFA Nations LeagueOver 2.51.8758%+5%Defensa y Justicia — San LorenzoPrimera DivisionNot both to score1.6565%+4%Leyton Orient — PlymouthLeague OneLeyton Orient +0.251.8658%+4%Seattle Sounders — Sporting Kansas CityMLSSeattle Sounders wins1.4772%+4%North Macedonia U21 — Russia U21FriendliesNot both to score1.8558%+4%AFC Wimbledon — StevenageLeague OneNot both to score1.8558%+4%Finland — BelarusUEFA Nations LeagueUnder 2.51.5170%+4%Slough — EbbsfleetNational League N/SEbbsfleet wins1.5170%+4%Wales — NorwayUEFA Nations LeagueNorway wins1.9555%+4%Armenia — MontenegroUEFA Nations LeagueArmenia or Draw1.4672%+4%Ventforet — ToyamaJ2-LeagueToyama wins1.7162%+4%Latvia — MontenegroUEFA Nations LeagueMontenegro wins1.7760%+4%Kazakhstan — MoldovaUEFA Nations LeagueKazakhstan wins1.6863%+3%Israel — KosovoUEFA Nations LeagueDraw or Kosovo1.4672%+3%Burton — HuddersfieldLeague OneHuddersfield wins1.9056%+3%Den Bosch — DordrechtEerste DivisieDen Bosch wins1.8358%+3%Avaí — CearáSerie BNot both to score1.8358%+3%Peterborough — Notts CoLeague OneDraw or Notts Co1.6763%+3%Barnet — York CityLeague TwoBarnet wins2.1350%+3%Helmond — HeraclesEerste DivisieOver 2.51.4572%+3%For information only — not betting advice. Odds shown are the pick's price at pick time. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.