Value bets
Selections where our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — ranked by edge.
What is edge? Edge = our model's win probability minus the probability implied by the price (1 ÷ decimal odds). A positive edge means the market may be underpricing the pick.
MatchPickOddsModelEdge
Stuttgart — VikingUEFA Champions LeagueViking wins12.0065%+57%Palmeiras — LDU QuitoCopa LibertadoresDraw5.7765%+48%Cerro Porteno — Nacional AsuncionPrimera DivisionNacional Asuncion wins3.1062%+30%Bayern Munich — Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions LeagueNot both to score2.3870%+28%PSG — Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions LeagueBoth teams to score2.8855%+20%Maykop — YeniseyRussia CupNot both to score1.8871%+18%Volgar-Astrakhan — UlyanovskRussia CupNot both to score2.3460%+17%Dynamo Barnaul — ChelyabinskRussia CupNot both to score2.0665%+16%Cienciano — Montevideo CityCopa SudamericanaDraw or Montevideo City2.5855%+16%Ryazan — S. KostromaRussia CupNot both to score2.0565%+16%Corinthians W — Cruzeiro WBrasileiro Feminino A1Not both to score2.0265%+15%Dortmund — VillarrealUEFA Champions LeagueDortmund wins1.8370%+15%Club Brugge KV — Aston VillaUEFA Champions LeagueAston Villa wins2.5255%+15%Slavia Prague — LensUEFA Champions LeagueLens wins2.5055%+15%Boca — Sao PauloCopa SudamericanaDraw or Sao Paulo2.1062%+14%Leyton Orient — Bradford CityEFL CupBradford City wins2.4555%+14%Asteras Tripolis — ArisGreek CupAris wins2.4555%+14%Bournemouth — LincolnEFL CupBoth teams to score1.9565%+14%Manchester Utd — Sabah BakuUEFA Champions LeagueNot both to score1.9565%+14%Fenerbahce — AS RomaUEFA Champions LeagueNot both to score2.1560%+13%FC Porto — Manchester CityUEFA Champions LeagueFC Porto or Draw2.1758%+12%TPS — SJKVeikkausliigaTPS wins2.3055%+12%Carabobo — Estudiantes MeridaPrimera DivisionDraw or Estudiantes Merida2.2955%+11%Paysandu — BrusqueSerie CDraw or Brusque2.2955%+11%Barcelona — FeyenoordUEFA Champions LeagueBoth teams to score2.0060%+10%OFI Crete — ChrisoupolisGreek CupNot both to score1.5674%+10%Drenica — PrishtinaSuperligaPrishtina wins2.2055%+10%Vushtrria — KF LlapiSuperligaNot both to score2.2055%+10%Chelsea — LeedsEFL CupBoth teams to score1.8065%+9%Sydney FC — Melbourne VictoryFFA CupSydney FC wins2.1955%+9%Independiente Valle — FlamengoCopa LibertadoresDraw or Flamengo1.5175%+9%Napoli — ArsenalUEFA Champions LeagueArsenal wins1.8862%+9%Volna Nizhegorodskaya — R. VolgogradRussia CupNot both to score1.8164%+9%Universidad Central — Puerto CabelloPrimera DivisionPuerto Cabello wins2.3152%+9%PEPO — HIFKKakkonenPEPO wins2.0258%+8%Kiffen — AtlantisKakkonenDraw or Atlantis2.0258%+8%Crystal Palace — MiddlesbroughEFL CupDraw or Middlesbrough2.1355%+8%Lille — BetisUEFA Champions LeagueDraw or Betis1.7465%+8%Sporting CP — GalatasarayUEFA Champions LeagueSporting CP wins1.9858%+7%Dep. Riestra — BanfieldArgentina CupNot both to score1.6568%+7%Saratov — LeningradetsRussia CupLeningradets wins2.1055%+7%HJK — Inter TurkuVeikkausliigaNot both to score2.1055%+7%Kaluga — UfaRussia CupNot both to score1.8362%+7%Havant & W — ChippenhamFA CupHavant & W wins2.3450%+7%Albion — ProgresoPrimeraAlbion wins2.0855%+7%Al Jazira — Al NasrPremier LeagueAl Jazira wins1.6368%+7%Plaza Colonia — Uruguay MontevideoSegunda DivisionPlaza Colonia wins1.8760%+7%Gnistan — KuPSVeikkausliigaKuPS wins1.9458%+6%Maldonado — WanderersCopa UruguayMaldonado wins1.8062%+6%Olympiacos Piraeus — VolosGreek CupNot both to score1.5770%+6%Santos — Atlético MineiroCopa SudamericanaDraw or Atlético Mineiro1.7962%+6%AEK Athens — LASKUEFA Champions LeagueAEK Athens wins1.7962%+6%Luki-Energiya — UralRussia CupUral wins1.5670%+6%Liverpool — Atl. MadridUEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool wins1.7862%+6%Estudiantes — CorinthiansCopa LibertadoresEstudiantes wins2.2550%+6%Pirata — Carlos MannucciSegunda DivisionNot both to score2.0255%+5%HPS — PPJKakkonenPPJ wins2.1552%+5%Sunderland — HullEFL CupDraw or Hull2.1452%+5%Santa Fe — VascoCopa SudamericanaDraw or Vasco1.6765%+5%Como — RB LeipzigUEFA Champions LeagueComo wins2.1452%+5%PSV — Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions LeagueBoth teams to score1.6765%+5%Racing Montevideo — Central Esp.Copa UruguayDraw or Central Esp.1.8260%+5%VPS — AC OuluVeikkausliigaNot both to score2.0055%+5%Kirov — KamazRussia CupKamaz wins2.2150%+5%Ilves — JaroVeikkausliigaIlves wins1.5370%+5%CA Cerro — CerritoCopa UruguayCA Cerro wins2.1052%+4%Lahti — MariehamnVeikkausliigaLahti wins1.5768%+4%Real Madrid — InterUEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid wins1.6266%+4%Floriana — VallettaSuper CupFloriana wins1.9755%+4%Needham Market — StanwayFA CupNeedham Market wins1.7362%+4%Millwall — NewcastleEFL CupNewcastle wins1.6764%+4%Inter Playa Del Carmen — PionerosInter Playa Del Carmen wins2.0054%+4%Guarani — RecoletaPrimera DivisionGuarani wins1.9555%+4%Znamya Noginsk — SKA KhabarovskRussia CupSKA Khabarovsk wins1.6365%+4%Segesta — OsijekCroatian CupOsijek wins1.4075%+4%Redditch — Malvern TownFA CupRedditch wins1.5568%+3%Carshalton — ChertseyFA CupCarshalton wins1.8059%+3%Chertanovo M. — NeftekhimikRussia CupNeftekhimik wins1.5767%+3%Ilves II — P-Iirot RaumaKakkonenIlves II wins1.7361%+3%Al Ain — Al WaslPremier LeagueAl Ain wins1.7062%+3%For information only — not betting advice. Odds shown are the pick's price at pick time. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.