Form guide: Parma have had a torrid start to the season, averaging just 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per game, with no clean sheets and a mere 28% possession. Their attacking output is poor and defensively they look vulnerable. Cremonese, meanwhile, have been more solid defensively, keeping 11 clean sheets, though they have failed to score in 17 matches, indicating a lack of firepower. Their average of 0.84 goals per game is low, but they are more compact and harder to break down.

Head-to-head: The recent meetings between these sides show a mixed picture. Cremonese won the most recent encounter 2-0 at Parma in March 2026, and the previous meeting was a 0-0 draw. Parma did win 2-1 at Cremonese in 2023, but Cremonese have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Overall, the head-to-head is fairly balanced with 6 home wins, 4 away wins and 4 draws in 14 games, but the recent trend slightly favours Cremonese.

What the odds say: The market gives Parma a 44.7% chance of winning, with a draw at 28.9% and Cremonese at 26.5%. The odds imply a relatively close match, but Parma are favourites. However, given Parma's poor form and Cremonese's defensive solidity, the market may be overrating Parma. Cremonese's away win probability of 26.5% seems low given their recent head-to-head success and Parma's struggles.

Tactical outlook: Parma will likely have most of the ball but with only 28% possession on average, they may struggle to create chances. Cremonese will sit deep and look to hit on the counter, a style that has brought them 11 clean sheets. Parma's key absences in midfield and attack (Benjamin Cremaschi, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, David Romero) will further weaken their creativity. Cremonese only have one absentee, David Stuckler, so they are closer to full strength. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Cremonese possibly nicking a goal on the break.

Match context: This is a Serie B fixture early in the season, with both teams looking to establish themselves. Parma will be desperate to turn their form around, but their injury list is a major concern. Cremonese will be confident after their recent win at Parma and will see this as a chance to take points off a struggling side. The scheduling is not a factor, but motivation should be high for both. Given the data, Cremonese represent value at the odds.