Form guide

Cerro Porteno enter with form WDLWL and sit third in the standings on 48 points after 30 games. Nacional Asuncion arrive in stronger shape on WWWDD and hold second place with 54 points from the same number of matches, showing greater consistency.

Head-to-head

Recent encounters have been tight but the current form and standings gap favor Nacional Asuncion to perform well even on the road.

What the odds say

Market consensus gives Cerro Porteno 37.5 percent, draw 32.3 percent and Nacional Asuncion 30.2 percent. Best odds imply 39.1 percent, 33.3 percent and 32.3 percent respectively, leaving slight room for Nacional Asuncion to be underpriced.

Tactical outlook

Cerro Porteno average 1.52 goals scored and 0.86 conceded with 61 percent possession, while Nacional Asuncion post 1.18 goals scored and 0.77 conceded with 45 percent possession. Key absences for Cerro Porteno are Blas Riveros and Gaston Gimenez; Nacional Asuncion miss Fernando Diaz and Leandro Meza.

Match context

Nacional Asuncion hold the superior league position and recent results, creating a motivation and form asymmetry that the market appears to undervalue in an away fixture.