Form guide

Anderlecht sit seventh on 10 points from six games (3-1-2) but the underlying numbers are ugly: four goals scored, five conceded, a negative goal difference, and a WDWLL run that includes back-to-back defeats. They have failed to score in 10 of their matches this season and average just 1.48 goals per game. Zulte Waregem, by contrast, are fifth on 11 points (3-2-1) with a remarkable 10 goals scored and only four conceded — a +6 goal difference built on 2.0 goals per game and 0.6 against. Their form line LWDWD shows one defeat in six. On current output, the visitors are the better team.

Head-to-head

The 52-game history is overwhelmingly Anderlecht's: 34 home-side wins to Waregem's nine. But the recent meetings tell a very different story. Waregem won 3-2 at Anderlecht in August 2025, won 3-2 at Anderlecht in January 2023, and won 3-2 at home in October 2022. Anderlecht's only recent win was a 4-2 away victory in February 2026. Four of the last five meetings produced at least four goals, and Waregem have won three of the last five — the historical dominance is stale.

What the odds say

The market prices Anderlecht at 54.5% to win, draw 24.7%, Waregem 20.8%. Best odds are 1.78 / 3.80 / 4.57. That makes Anderlecht an implied 56.2% at the best price — the market is paying a premium for the badge and the home ground, not for the current data. Waregem at 4.57 implies just 21.9%, which is far too short given they have outscored Anderlecht 10-4, out-defended them 4-5, and won three of the last five head-to-heads. The value sits with the visitors.

Tactical outlook

Anderlecht average 52% possession but create little — 1.48 goals per game with 10 failed-to-score matches is a toothless attack. Waregem are comfortable without the ball (40% possession) and lethal on the counter, with Marley Ake on seven goals, Anosike Ementa contributing three goals and eight assists, and Anton Tanghe adding three. Anderlecht's defensive record (1.55 conceded per game, only 10 clean sheets) is vulnerable to exactly that profile. Waregem's 0.6 goals-against average and three clean sheets suggest they can absorb pressure and strike. Anderlecht are missing Ilay Camara, Boel Hey Lucas and Killian Sardella, thinning their squad further.

Match context

This is a mid-table Pro League fixture where the standings say Waregem are the stronger side and the form says the same. The only thing pointing to Anderlecht is history and home advantage, and the market has over-weighted both. Waregem arrive with momentum, a settled attack and a recent habit of beating this opponent. The 4.57 on the away win is the standout number on the board.

Verdict: back Zulte Waregem to win, with the double chance as the safer alternative.